Friday, 9 May 2025

MARETS & MISSILES. FEAR TRIGGERS A DIP, PATIENCE DELIVERS A FORTUNE

BORDER TENSION... WAR FEARS... PANIC IN THE MARKETS...

Yes, it’s serious. Yes, it’s emotional.

The headlines scream. The borders heat up. And suddenly, your portfolio starts looking like a thermometer during a fever — red and rising anxiety.
BUT... should you let FEAR drive your financial decisions?

A BIG NO!!!

Before you press the SELL button, just PAUSE... BREATHE... and lets LOOK AT HISTORY.


WHAT HAPPENS TO MARKETS IN WARTIME?

Every time there’s a geopolitical crisis — investors PANIC, media SHOUTS, and the markets DIP...

But then what?

MARKETS BOUNCE BACK STRONGER!!!

Let’s talk FACTS, not FEARS:


INDIAN MARKET BEHAVIOUR DURING CONFLICTS:

๐Ÿ”ธ KARGIL WAR (1999) – There was an inital Drop but within 3 months, the markets gained UP 12% and within 1 year... 30% UP!!!!!!
๐Ÿ”ธ SURGICAL STRIKES (2016) – Market fell intraday, but RECOVERED within hours, and the Nifty went on to rally over 15% in the next 6 months.
๐Ÿ”ธ PULWAMA & BALAKOT (2019) – Initially there was fear and volatility which lasted a week… But from February to June 2019, Nifty moved up more than 8%, hitting fresh highs. 4 months was all it took for the fear to go away and scale highs. 
๐Ÿ”ธ MUMBAI ATTACKS (2008) – AT this time already there was a global meltdown due to Lehmann Brothers issue leading to Global recession, but yet again... same story repeated... MARKETS REBOUNDED in months gaining more than 81% in 1 year!



✅ Except for the 2001 Parliament attack, the Indian market has NEVER fallen more than 2% during any war or tension!

✅ AVERAGE CORRECTION = JUST 7%
✅ MEDIAN CORRECTION = ONLY 3%

Even in WORST-CASE scenarios, experts believe NIFTY won’t fall beyond 5–10%!


GLOBAL EVENTS? SAME STORY!

This is India story but what about the Rest of the World. Let’s look at how the WORLD responded:

๐Ÿ”น 9/11 ATTACK
–  Dow Jones dropped -16%, but bounced back +30% in 6 months

๐Ÿ”น IRAQ-KUWAIT WAR
– Initially fell -13.3%, then gained +16.3% in 6 months

๐Ÿ”น KOREAN WAR
– Down -12%, up +19% in 6 months

๐Ÿ”น COVID CRASH (MARCH 2020)
– Markets crashed globally…Markets melted in panic.
– But within 1 year.. by MARCH 2021, NEW ALL-TIME HIGHS!!



Every time: fear faded. Wealth stayed.

PATTERN IS CLEAR: FEAR IS TEMPORARY. GROWTH IS PERMANENT. 


SO, WHAT SHOULD YOU DO NOW?

This is NOT the time to RUN AWAY.
This is the time to quietly BUILD!

✔️ CONTINUE YOUR SIPS — This is when rupee cost averaging gives you MAXIMUM benefit!
✔️ DEPLOY LUMPSUM — NAVs are low. Grab QUALITY at a DISCOUNT!
✔️ BUILD NEW PORTFOLIOS — This is the time to POSITION FOR LONG-TERM GROWTH!
✔️ DON’T PANIC SELL — Remember: PANIC NEVER MADE ANYONE WEALTHY!

And if you don’t have cash?

NO WORRIES. Just hold your quality stocks quietly. That silence will speak loudly in your returns over the next 12–18 months.

Just SIT TIGHT.
HOLD your QUALITY stocks… SILENTLY.
That Silence will SPEAK loudly through your returns over the next 12-18 months. 


A Gentle Reminder from the Markets

 The market has a message. It’s not loud, but it’s wise:

“I TEST YOU with fear... and I REWARD YOU with fortune!”

You are NOT investing for the next 3 weeks...
You are investing for the next 3 DECADES!!!

So DON’T let short-term noise distract you from long-term wealth.


FINAL WORDS

STAY CALM
STAY WISE
STAY INVESTED

Because in every crisis...
WEALTH CHANGES HANDS — from the PANICKED to the PREPARED!!!

Because the best portfolios are built when the worst news is doing the rounds.

Regards,

Srikanth Matrubai
AMFI REGISTERED MUTUAL FUND DISTRIBUTOR
REBALANCE VOLATILITY CERTIFIED COACH
Srikanth Matrubai, Author of the Amazon Best Seller DON'T RETIRE RICH


You are strongly encouraged to consult your financial planner before making any decision regarding this investment. The views expressed here are the author's personal views and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to invest/avoid.
#SrikanthMatrubai #WealthWisdom #LongTermInvestor #SIPPower #StayInvested #MakeFearYourOpportunity #WealthCreation #SIPPower #IndiaMarkets  #LongTermWins #InvestorWisdom
 
Srikanth Matrubai Author of the Amazon Best Seller DON'T RETIRE RICH

Do read the book and give your valuable feedback and request you to post positive comments on Amazon. https://amzn.to/3cHUM6M/ 

You can purchase the book on Amazon and Flipkart 

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GOODFUNDADVISOR is the musings by Srikanth Matrubai, Author of Amazon Best Selling Book DONT RETIRE RICH. Request you to note that this blog is purely for educational purposes and in no way recommends any investments. Strongly urge you to follow your Advisor We do not take any responsibility whatsoever as the blog content may be changed from time to time and is generic in nature.

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