DON'T RETIRE RICH

Monday 7 October 2024

SHARE MARKET GAMBLING?


Imagine a group of friends who loved going to the local fair every year. One of the main attractions was a giant wheel of fortune game, where players could bet on one of several colored slots. If the wheel landed on their color, they’d win double their money. Most of them would bet small amounts for fun, occasionally winning, but usually losing. Still, it was all in good spirit, and they'd move on to the next stall after a few rounds.

Then came Ravi, one of their friends, who thought he’d figured out a foolproof way to beat the game. His strategy was to start small—say, betting Rs 10 on red—and if he lost, he’d double his bet in the next round. The idea was simple: eventually, the wheel would land on red, and he’d recover all his previous losses plus win a little extra.

For a while, it worked. Ravi lost a few rounds, doubled his bets, and when red finally came up, he was ahead by Rs 10. He felt confident. But then came the streak of bad luck—three, four, five losses in a row. Ravi kept doubling his bets, going from Rs 10 to Rs 20, then Rs 40, then Rs 80. Soon, the game’s maximum betting limit hit Rs 100. Ravi couldn’t double his next bet anymore and lost his entire stake when red didn’t show up. His strategy, built on the assumption that the game had no limits, fell apart.

Many people believe that the stock market is like a giant casino where you can make quick money if you’re lucky. This mindset leads many to try high-risk strategies like Futures & Options (F&O) trading, hoping for rapid gains. However, F&O isn’t a quick-fix solution for wealth creation—it’s a highly speculative, risky game that often results in huge losses. Let's dive into why.

F&O Trading: High-Risk, High Danger

In F&O trading, you’re essentially betting on the future price of a stock or index. It seems simple—you predict whether the price will go up or down. If you’re right, you make money; if you’re wrong, you lose. The catch? Leverage. In F&O, you can trade with borrowed money, which amplifies both your gains and your losses. It’s tempting because small moves in the market can lead to big profits, but they can also cause massive losses.

The reality is that most F&O traders lose money. According to SEBI, 93% of retail investors who dabble in F&O end up on the losing side. Why? Because predicting short-term market movements is extremely difficult, even for experts. Add leverage to the mix, and a small wrong move can wipe out your entire investment. It’s like stepping into quicksand—one wrong step and you’re trapped.

In short, F&O is not for the average investor. It requires deep knowledge, quick reflexes, and an appetite for extreme risk. If you don’t fully understand the complexities of market timing, volatility, and leverage, you’re setting yourself up for financial disaster.

Power of Equity Mutual Funds: Safe and Steady Wealth Creation

In stark contrast to the high-risk F&O market, equity mutual funds offer a much safer and more reliable way to grow wealth. These funds pool money from various investors and invest in a diversified portfolio of stocks, managed by professionals. The key benefit? Diversification. By spreading your investments across different companies and sectors, you reduce the risk of losing everything if one stock or sector underperforms.

Equity mutual funds are especially powerful when you invest for the long term. Unlike F&O, where the focus is on short-term gains, equity mutual funds leverage the power of compounding to grow your wealth steadily over time. Compounding is often called the eighth wonder of the world—it’s when your returns start earning returns, creating a snowball effect.

For instance, if you invest ₹10,000 monthly in an equity mutual fund with an average return of 12% over 20 years, you could end up with ₹1 crore or more—just from consistent investing and the magic of compounding. You don’t need to worry about predicting daily market movements. Instead, by investing through Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs), you can ride out market volatility and still achieve solid long-term growth.

Real-Life Examples of Mutual Fund Success

Many successful investors advocate for mutual funds as a reliable path to wealth creation. Dr. Vijay Kedia, one of India’s top stock market investors, made his fortune through disciplined, long-term investing. While he is known for stock picking, he frequently advises retail investors to stick with mutual funds if they don’t have the time or knowledge to manage direct equities.

Similarly, Narayan Murthy, the founder of Infosys, has long advocated for investing in equity mutual funds for young and beginner investors. He believes that mutual funds offer a disciplined approach to investing, reducing risks while capturing the long-term growth potential of the stock market.

The Takeaway: Stay Safe, Grow Wealth

The stock market is not a gamble—but the way you approach it makes all the difference. F&O trading is risky, unpredictable, and requires expertise that most retail investors don’t have. On the other hand, equity mutual funds offer a proven, safer path to wealth creation through diversification, professional management, and the power of compounding.

By consistently investing in equity mutual funds through SIPs, you give your money the time and opportunity to grow steadily over the years. It may not feel like you’re making quick money, but over time, this approach will help you build lasting wealth without the stress and risks of F&O.


Regards

Srikanth Matrubai








All the best,
Regards,
Srikanth Matrubai
MUTUAL FUND DISTRIBUTOR
REBALANCE VOLATILITY CERTIFIED COACH
Srikanth Matrubai, Author of the Amazon Best Seller DON'T RETIRE RICH


You are strongly encouraged to consult your financial planner before making any decision regarding this investment. The views expressed here are the author's personal views and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to invest/avoid.

 
Srikanth Matrubai Author of the Amazon Best Seller DON'T RETIRE RICH

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